Is a Crowded GOP Primary Better for Trump?
29 Jun 2022
CLAY: We have talked about the disaster that is Joe Biden. We have talked about the disaster that is Kamala Harris, Mayor Pete, Hillary Clinton, whoever you want to insert as the potential Democrat candidate in 2024, the bench is very slim. There are not a lot of great options. Flip side. January 6thโฆ Letโs be honest. As Buck and I have told you for a long time, is really just about trying to make Donald Trump not a viable 2024 candidate. Now, I actually think January 6th makes him far more likely to run because he wants to be able to fire back at all of his critics.
But there are right now a lot of Republicans doing the groundwork, doing all the behind-the-scenes details to get ready to be able to run themselves. And I was reading this morning, Buck, Washington Post has a monster profile piece on Virginia governor Glenn Youngkin and the fact that he just went up to New York City to raise money from some of the biggest money Republican supporters in New York, where we were, by the way, at the same time.
Youngkin is aggressively exploring a potential run for president. We know and have talked about the fact that Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is also exploring his own run, and interestingly โ and weโll play the audio for you on this in a little bit โ Joe Rogan came out and said that he thinks that Governor Ron DeSantis of Florida could be a good option as well. Mike Pompeo seems like he is gonna run. I think itโs fair to say Mike Pence is gonna run. All of this, Buck, leads to an interesting question.
Are there actually going to be so many Republicans running that Trump is going to think twice about it? Or the more Republicans that run, is it actually better for Trump because we know that whatever cadre of the Republican Party, letโs say, are die-hard MAGA people and letโs say itโs a third of all Republican voters. Iโm just tossing out a number. Could be higher. Could be lower. Is that better for Trump? In other words, the more people who decide to jump in in 2024, do you think that impacts the way that Trump himself, Buck, is thinking about the idea of running and/or as more people running, does it make him maybe even more likely because his path to nomination could be even easier.
BUCK: If you look at the 2015-2016 period and who got into the Republican Party primary there โ
CLAY: Yeah, it was 19, I think.
BUCK: Thatโs right, 19. There was 19 candidates, and Trump very early on โ and this is often I think forgotten. It should get more attention. Trump jumped out ahead of everybody in terms of an individual level of support as soon as he took immigration and ran with it and build the wall and weโre gonna make Mexico pay for it and weโre gonna deport illegal immigrants who come here without respect for our laws. That was the issue that really, yeah, of course Trump, super well known, all of that.
But it was on immigration more than any other issue that he separated himself from the rest of the field. If you look at how that played out, I think youโd have to come away believing โ you can never prove this โ that it was helpful to then Donald Trump, now president or former president Trump, that you had so many different candidates. This time around, Clay, I just think there are so many possibilities here, I think there are so many what-ifs, that itโs really hard to get a sense of it. There are going to be people on the Republican side who just want to up their national profile โ and, by the way, I donโt say this disparagingly.
There are some candidates for whom running is the opportunity to maybe get their perspective as a conservative, as a Republican heard. For example, I would say someone like Senator Rand Paul, who weโve had on the show many times, never came close, really, in the polls to winning the Republican nomination, but he was a guy who every time he was on stage Iโm like, โIโm glad that Senator Paul is there being heard on these issues. Iโm glad the party has somebody with his perspective there.โ
So I donโt say, โOh, theyโre just gonna run. Theyโre not gonna win.โ There are some other people who want to up their speaking fees and get the book deals, and Iโm a capitalist. Iโm not hating on that. But, you know, theyโre gonna run a big book tour or theyโre gonna go on the big speaking tour and thatโs what itโs all about. But youโre gonnaโฆ One thing I do know โ I mean, instead of just doing all the possibilities and the what-ifs, one thing I do know โ is if you look at the Republican bench of possible contenders, youโve got really serious people.
CLAY: Itโs deep. Itโs deep.
BUCK: Iโm not trying to upset anybody who is die-hard, Trump is gonna run again and Trump is gonna win again. That could well happen and that will be great. But if you look at the other people on the Republican bench just to give a strength of the Republican Party, Ron DeSantis obviously has practically worked a miracle in the state of Florida โ one, as a New Yorker who used to escape to Florida in the pandemic I feel very personally attached to. Glenn Youngkin is doing a really good job in Virginia. Thereโs a whole bunch of people, I know. A lot of Ted Cruz supporters in our audience who would love to see him run again, right?
CLAY: Tim Scott. A lot of people want Tim Scott.
BUCK: Tim Scott.
CLAY: A lot of people want Nikki Haley. Thereโs a long list.
BUCK: These are all serious people who I think would do a good job. Just a question of who would do the best job and who would win against whoever the Democrat is. We donโt even know who the Democrat is, of course, really.
CLAY: I think one reason youโre seeing so many people put their name in the hat โ youโre right โ because there are some people who say maybe Iโve got a 2% chance of being the nominee and they just decide, โI could at least elevate my profile.โ The Democratsโ bench is so weak and their potential candidate is so weak. I think it feels a little bitโฆ One of my buddies made this analogy. He said the Republicans right now are like the SEC in college football. Whoever comes out of the SEC is probably gonna win the national championship and then the Democrats are just gonna toss up somebody who gets wrecked in that championship.
BUCK: Weโre a year into this show, and I understand that analogy.
CLAY: You got that analogy.
BUCK: I got it, baby. Iโm locked in! SEC football, I know some things.
CLAY: I apologize to all the Big Ten listeners out there and all the Big 12 and PAC-12 and ACC fan bases. But in general, the SEC right now is, to me, akin to the Republican presidential primary candidates. The best team out of the SEC is gonna run roughshod over whoever the Democrats put up, which is the best team in the rest of the country. This is Joe Rogan. I referenced this and said we would hear it. Here is Joe Rogan on his podcast โ itโs one of the most popular podcasts in the world โ discussing with Gina Carano from The Daily Wire, fired at the Mandalorian for not having the right opinions.
BUCK: Sheโs a top MMA fighter for a while, right?
CLAY: Yeah, as well. Here they are discussing the idea of Ron DeSantis. Listen.
While taking with Gina Carano, Joe Rogan says โRon DeSantis would work as a good presidentโ. pic.twitter.com/5W0HVrmTo6
โ The Post Millennial (@TPostMillennial) June 28, 2022
BUCK: Iโm really happy to hear Joe Rogan say that because Ron DeSantis was correct about how he dealt with covid in Florida. There is no good-faith argument to be had against him based on the numbers. The numbers are in. The data is in. Itโs like we ran a race and Ron DeSantis was the first one across the finish tape. So thereโs that. But also, just to point it out, Ron DeSantis is in a great spot. But after last week as well, Donald Trump, most pro-life president in history. And with those judges, not only do we have that Roe v. Wade decision, weโre gonna have two good decisions coming down most likely, Iโm assuming tomorrow.
CLAY: This fall.
BUCK: We may see the end of affirmative action. I think thatโs gonna happen this fall. So itโs been a bigโฆ Itโs been a big month for Trump, and I think itโs been a big first couple of quarters for Governor DeSantis when you look at the growth in Florida. So Iโm just trying to say, โMan, we look at our side when weโre sitting here talking about it and weโre comparing awesomeness,โ and look at their side, where itโs like, โYeah, maybe. I donโt know. Maybe theyโre gonna have who? Pete Buttigieg?โ
CLAY: Yeah. The View said the dream candidate and team was Kamala Harris and Mayor Pete.
BUCK: That would be awesome. I actually โ
CLAY: And I think all of you out thereโฆ (laughing) I can barely say it with a straight face.
BUCK: Can we donate to the Mayor Pete-Kamala super PAC? โCause we need get that going.
CLAY: Buck, they spent a lot of money in Colorado and Illinois, Democrats did, trying to pick their opponents. It failed in Colorado, may have won in Illinois. But I kind of think maybe they bought off something they donโt want to really be taking on. But if right now I could choose, if I could pencil in Kamala Harris, president; Mayor Pete, vice president, I would sign up to run any Republican we just mentioned against that ticket.
And just circling back around on how we started this, I think January 6th is blowing up in Democratsโ faces. They thought that they were going to remove Donald Trump from the 2024 contender list. I think what theyโre doing is actually guaranteeing that he run because theyโre infuriating him and not letting him just kind of ride off into the sunset. Theyโre trying to put him in jail, and if youโre Donald Trump, you want the vindication. โI donโt want to go to jail, but I also want to kick Yu ass and be president.โ
BUCK: We were talking about grizzly bears before because itโs that kind of show. We talk about a lot of things. Donโt poke the Trump grizzly bear, folks. Itโs bigger, stronger, and faster than you think, libs. You know? Itโs not a good idea. Keep a hundred yards from the Trump grizzly, libs, Iโm telling you.
CLAY: Theyโre gonna get mauled, and a lot of us are gonna enjoy it.
Recent Stories

Randy Fine Explains What He's Up Against in FL-6
The Democrats are pouring millions into this special election in Florida, which is key to holding the House for Republicans.

Clay: Disney's Snow White Could Be the Worst Movie Loss in Hollywood History
Miss Clay on The Will Cain Show? Watch it here.

Ryan Girdusky Brings Us the Latest Data on Special Elections and European Populism
Our data guru breaks down special elections here at home and troubling news from Europe.

Buck and the Beautiful Carrie Enjoy a Miami Evening
Buck and and the gorgeous, glowing Carrie, 9 months pregnant, out for an evening.

Clay Plays in the Tunnel to Towers Charity Golf Tournament at Trump International
See Clay's golf day benefitting Tunnel to Towers.