Are We Safe from Democrats Passing Any Bad Bills This Year?
29 Jun 2022
CLAY: I got asked this question yesterday when I was hanging out at the pool, Buck, and I thought it was a good one. I donโt know the answer, and Iโm curious what you think. Are we safe from Joe Biden being able to pass any more awful bills before the end of the year? I know weโve talked about the Republicans running out the clock, and we need to get maybe some senators on to talk about this. When is the drop-dead date, so to speak, when Congress will be out of session and we no longer have to worry about them making disastrous decisions that make, for instance, inflation worse, i.e., are they going to pass any new bills that could increase taxes, that could lead to more money coming into the governmentโs coffers?
And I didnโt know the answer. Do you have a good sense on that? My sense was if we can get to Labor Day โ because, come Labor Day, everybody is gonna go back to campaign for the midterms. That really is kind of the start of campaign season aggressively. But I didnโt know when the drop-dead date of, โHey, weโre safe,โ actually is. โCause if Republicans win the House and/or win the Senate, which we feel pretty good about, nothing would really get passed for two years after.
BUCK: This is actually, in my mind, the system showing you its brilliance, as in gridlock โ
CLAY: Yes, yes.
BUCK: โ protects us from the stupidity of the people who happen to get in positions of power by promising things they couldnโt deliver, lying about all the different usual underhanded political nonsense, right? So gridlock is good. I almost feel like I could give the Gordon Gekko speech, โGreed is good.โ
CLAY: Yes.
BUCK: Gridlock is good when you have an administration as incompetent as this one. So I certainly hope that will be the case, and I guess a way to step back from it, Clay, โcause weโd have to get into, โWell, what parliamentary tricks could be pulled to try to get something through here, try to push something the Senate the House?โ What would they want to see, to do at this point, really?
CLAY: Tax increase, I think.
BUCK: Right. Exactly right. So now we look, โOkay. Theyโre gonna pull a tax increase in the last month before a midterm election where theyโre about to get crushed because theyโre gonna go with a class warfare theme.โ What exactly is the sales pitch to people that canโt afford โ comfortably anymore โ food, gas, rent? Itโs gonna be, โWeโre raising the corporate tax and in five years, this is going toโฆโ
It doesnโt fly, right? So I canโt even think of what, short of some executive orders, but executive orders are immediately reversible which the libs always find out about and cry about. โWaah, they can be reversed?โ By the way, thatโs what Remain in Mexico is effectively about, right? Theyโre just saying, โWeโre not gonna reimplement the policy,โ and a court has already said, โWhat do you mean youโre not gonna reimplement the policy?โ
CLAY: My concern โ and this could potentially happen in a lame-duck session, which is even scarier.
BUCK: Yeah, give me your worst case, like war games.
CLAY: Any worst-case scenario is we get to September or late August, right before theyโre gonna leave. They see all the polls. They know that they are going to lose the Senate and they know theyโre going to lose the House, and they just say, โWeโve gotta pass whatever we want in terms of transformative legislation right now, because once we lose the Senate and the House โ or even just the House โ weโre not gonna be able to pass anything for two years.
โThen weโve got a difficult election to potentially try and win in 2024. We may not control Congress and the White House again for another decade or more. Letโs try to change taxes,โ for instance, โand get through another big spending bill just because we wonโt be able to do it for a decade or more.โ So my concern is they could be staring down the oncoming train, recognize that itโs gonna flatten them.
BUCK: So itโs basically, โGo for it. Itโs โbreak the glassโ time. Who cares?โ
CLAY: Theyโve got nothing else, and the lame-duck session is even a little bit more scary in that respect โcause Iโm not sure what parliamentary rules apply. Once they lose the House and Senate, could they try and push something through before the new Congress is brought in?
BUCK: Why would Manchin, for exampleโฆ? Just to play this out, right? Why would Manchin go along with that at this point? Heโs essentiallyโฆ He may have โ and even some Democrats say it โ
CLAY: Heโs basically the president.
BUCK: โ basically saved the Democrat Party from an implosion the likes of which weโve never seen because as we all know, if inflation was 12% or 15%. The CPI index, never mind what the real inflation is for that people feel for the good that they actually need. Thatโs usually a higher number than the official number. You know, I donโt see it, but I also never underestimate how slimy and unfair and underhanded the Democrat left is willing to be, Clay, so I donโt want to us to be caught unaware.
CLAY: Thatโs my concern, and I would just say, we gotta be vigilant in trying to keep that from happening because everything Biden touches makes everything worse. The Bidas touch is real, the opposite of the Midas touch. We gotta be very careful.
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