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Clay and Buck

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The Atlantic: Nuclear War Bad for Climate

14 Mar 2022

BUCK: It’s expensive out there, folks.

BUCK: Bill Maher. Guy’s got plenty of cash, but he knows it’s rough. Over $8? I didn’t even know that had happened in California, over $8 a gallon, and let’s understand that in states like California because of all the taxes and restrictions and decisions that have been made gas is more expensive in that state than it is anywhere else in the country. It’s also one of the reasons — or, rather, the environmental lobby is the primary reason — that housing prices remain so high there, because they prevent developers from doing what they would do based on market forces.

It is very hard to build particularly — particularly — middle-income housing anywhere in California anywhere near the coast. You can do it deep in the interior where the rich people don’t live, but if you want to do it anywhere near the coast they make it really hard because the delta smelt will be upset or something. There’s always some problem from an environmental perspective, which just brings me to the near religious zeal of the climate movement and how they can make anything about climate change.

Clay, we talked about this before. I tweeted about it over the weekend. I meant to send it to you guys. This is in The Atlantic. “On Top of Everything Else, Nuclear War Would Be a Climate Problem.” It goes into this. “When we talk about what causes climate change, we usually talk about oil and gas, coal and cars, and — just generally — energy policy,” he says. “But energy is not the only domain that has a direct bearing on whether we have a livable climate or not. So does foreign policy –specifically, nuclear war,” and he’s talking about what would happen if nuclear war broke out. It would kill tens of millions of people very, very rapidly.

CLAY: Yes.

BUCK: Probably destroy the entire planet as we know it.

CLAY: Yes.

BUCK: But over time, Clay, the climate change would, like, also get really bad.

CLAY: I understand that there are many people out there that are focused on political issues that truly make them insane, and I think the covid insanity certainly has worked, but I tend to think that it goes away at some point. I don’t know how the climate change people ever go back to normal. And I foresee it becoming wilder and wilder going forward than it even is right now.

But just imagine if you had a semblance of sanity in your media organization, if somebody pitched to you the idea, “Hey, nuclear war could kill millions of people, but you know what we’re not paying enough attention to? What it could do to the climate!” That you would okay that idea, that you would say, “You know what? That seems like a very logical and reasoned part of this discussion that is not receiving enough attention.”

It’s like when CBS did the story during the Ukraine invasion, Buck, remember, about the difficulty for transgender people to get transgender respect in Ukraine? And they said they were fighting a two-fronted war, and you’re like, “I don’t really know that I consider those to be equivalent wars.”

BUCK: The left takes seriously… There’s the old joke in journalism that lib journos, if the headline was, “World to end tomorrow,” the subheadline is, “Women and minorities hardest hit.” And they actually, at some level, take that almost seriously. They’re like, “Oh, yeah, no, that’s real! They would be the hardest hit if the world ended tomorrow.”

CLAY: Yes, if we all died the people who would take it the most, definitely women and minorities.

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No Joke: Terrified of Covid, Not of Nukes Popping Off?

14 Mar 2022

BUCK: They always say on SNL, “There’s nothing to make fun of,” so they just end up making jokes about how awful Trump is still or something. Right? It’s garbage, propaganda. There are some comedians out there. Ty Fish… Tyler Fischer does great stuff. Ryan Long does great stuff. Who was the gentleman who did the amazing Trump impression? I’m gonna give him a shout-out on here.


CLAY: People loved him.

BUCK: Shawn Farash. Great.

CLAY: We should get him on for an actual interview.

BUCK: Yes.

CLAY: Make it clear that it’s a Trump impersonator.

BUCK: Right. Interview him as Trump would be phenomenal. I’ve heard a lot of Trump impressions. His Trump impression may be the best, and also it’s clear that he also like likes and respects Trump, which is why I think also I like it. But he just does it well. It’s funny.

CLAY: Yes, yes.

BUCK: Trump would like Shawn’s Trump impressions because it’s very good and it’s not meant to just be an attack on the president, former president. So here is Ryan Long, who I don’t know if… I think he’s just an actual comedian. I don’t think he is conservative. He just makes jokes about things that are out there. I could be wrong.

CLAY: He’s just anti-woke comedy.

BUCK: Anti-woke comedy. That’s right.

CLAY: Yes.

BUCK: Anti-woke comedy, which is such a ripe place.

CLAY: Fertile. Fertile area.

BUCK: Yeah, it’s amazing, but here he is ’cause you’ve noticed this: There are all these people who were terrified of getting covid. There were like 35-year-old urbanites who were terrified about getting what for them would essentially be a sniffle during covid — and they’re double masking, freaking out — and now they’ve turned on a dime and they’re, “Hey, no-fly zone, shoot down Russian planes? No big deal! #IstandwithUkraine, #ImWearingAT-ShirtInTheColorsOfUkraine.” He has some thoughts about this to share, Ryan Long.

BUCK: There’s a lot of insight in that. Can I just say, the “moving right on,” Clay? There’s an amazing correlation right now between covid lockdowners, people that get caught up in the mailbox hysteria and, “If we have to shoot down Russian planes, no big deal.” What?

CLAY: The number of people that were terrified of a virus that had no danger to them that are not afraid of nuclear war is… I don’t understand. If you’re a fearful person, it would seem to me that you would overlap there. Like, I am way more afraid of nuclear war than I am of covid, right? And I’m not that afraid of nuclear war, ’cause, honestly, what am I gonna do?

It’s not as if somebody’s gonna call me up and say, “Hey, what do you think we should do here?” I can’t control what Vladimir Putin does. But if you were terrified of covid and didn’t leave your house for most of the past two years — which many of these people did — and you’re totally okay with World War III, I don’t understand that mind-set. I really don’t.

BUCK: I don’t either. I don’t think they do.

CLAY: Yeah.

BUCK: But they don’t stop to think about it, which is the what they got going for them, which is nice. They don’t have to actually think. I note that he says, “They just move on and never account for maybe getting caught up in covid hysteria was a bad idea, and now getting caught up in a kind of war fever on behalf of Ukraine as an American is also a bad idea.” Like I said, there are people pushing actively still right now for a no-fly zone for U.S. planes to shoot down Russian planes. So this is not over, folks. This is not. We’re not out of the danger zone on that, not by a long shot.

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The View Attacks Tucker Carlson as a Russian Agent

14 Mar 2022

BUCK: I’m glad The View exists, ’cause if it didn’t, we’d have to make it up.

CLAY: What if they played our clips on The View?

BUCK: (doing impression) “Some horrible thing called the Clay Travis & Buck Sexton Show…” The tears that would flow just from having to read our names aloud.

CLAY: I would love if we got a real feud going where The View would take clips from our show and they’d be like these are the two dumbest people on the planet.

BUCK: “Clay Travis once referred to his love of the First Amendment and boobs!”

CLAY: Oh.

BUCK: Oh. Good heavens. So here they are, though —

CLAY: Clutching the pearls.

BUCK: They actually want — at least one of them, wants — a full federal government investigation, it seems, of our buddy Tucker Carlson, ’cause Tucker says things that they don’t like, so sick the government on him. Play it.

BUCK: Just so everyone understands, that’s Ana Navarro, who I will say — and I don’t say this to be unkind, I say this to observe accurately — among the dumbest political analysts you will ever hear from in your entire life, and I know ’cause I actually sat on some panels with her at CNN. Here she is saying that the federal government should investigate — this on TV; there are a couple million people, unfortunately, watching this. The federal government should investigate Tucker Carlson for being a Russian propagandist.

Now, normally, Clay, we could ignore this. “Oh, they’re so dumb. They’re so…” Does this sound like something Jen Psaki would say? Does it sound like it? The Biden administration was pushing and is pushing — we didn’t even talk about this — for more covid misinformation data to be handed over to them from the social media companies. That’s a real assault.

CLAY: The surgeon general for sure, and we talked about this when Facebook inexplicably decided, “Hey, you can now root for the death of Russians and also call for their assassinations on Facebook.” So we have tech oligarchs, basically, making decisions about what First Amendment rights we have on these major platforms in terms of the marketplace of ideas.

And you would think that maybe people at The View would be a little bit more in favor of the First Amendment, considering that Whoopi Goldberg just got suspended two weeks on a show called The View for having such a stupid view of the Holocaust. And now they’re demanding that Tucker Carlson be investigated by the federal government for what he’s saying on television?

BUCK: Sometimes I feel like kid in class and I’m like, “Wait, wait, wait. There’s one more thing.” Did you see this guy McFaul who was U.S. ambassador to Russia was like, “Well, Putin’s…” I’m paraphrasing here.

CLAY: Oh, yeah, they had to pull it off MSNBC. Like, they shared the clip, right?

BUCK: This guy, who was the U.S. ambassador to Russia and is a huge lib who hates Trump, just for the record. I’ve had a couple little spats with him online before, Twitter. He’s an idiot. I don’t care that he was an ambassador. A lot of ambassadors are morons. I knew plenty of them in my day. And he says that “unlike Hitler, Putin…” This is him, now —

CLAY: Yes.

BUCK: “Hitler didn’t kill ethnic Germans who speak German. Putin is killing ethnic Russians who speak Russian.”

CLAY: He’s arguing Putin is worse than Hitler.

BUCK: Yes. Yes.

CLAY: He tried to argue. Straight up. Not, like, tiptoeing it. That was his MSNBC argument.

BUCK: Clay, this is a high government official under the Obama administration. I think he might have even been for part of the Trump administration. He was saying — ’cause he was at State Department — that Hitler didn’t kill ethnic Germans who spoke German. How is someone so stupid who was in charge of U.S. diplomacy with a nuclear armed country? I’m just wondering.

CLAY: As a general rule, comparing people to Hitler is a bad idea. Arguing someone is worse than Hitler in the modern era even worse of an idea. That’s what he did on MSNBC, and they had to pull it off of their clip because they were getting criticized for it.

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Ivory Hecker: Our Border Is Still Wide Open

14 Mar 2022

BUCK: There are a lot of areas where you could criticize and should criticize the Biden administration, the economy, national security, inflation, gas prices, all kinds of stuff where you can point to that are just disaster areas. But one that is a massive problem, one the American people should be hearing more about and continues to get worse day in and day out under this Biden regime is our southern border. It is lawless. It is porous. It is effectively open. Some folks are going down there to tell us what’s actually happening. One of them joins us now. Ivory Hecker. She is an independent journalist. She spent most of last week doing journalism down at the border telling us what’s going on. Ivory, thanks for being with us.

HECKER: Hey, thanks so much for having me.

BUCK: So, what did you see? Tell us what’s going on right now. You speak to Border Patrol. You speak to people who are trying to help out the Border Patrol. What are they saying about the current state of security and the rule of law down there?

HECKER: Well, it’s a constant stream of migrants swimming through the Rio Grande, they told me. I shadowed a local militia group for three days this past week and turns out while I was there, media reports was four people ended up drowning in the Rio Grande. I got tipped off about a 4-year-old girl drowning while attempting to swim across with her family, and Border Patrol confirmed that to me. She ended up being one of four. But, first day there when we drove up to the Rio Grande in Maverick County, Texas, not even — we couldn’t even get out of the truck before there were already migrants swimming across so we just turned on our cameras, started rolling. I put all the footage on YouTube and watched this group of about six people swim across the Rio Grande. When they got on shore they said that they had come from Cuba. They had spent a month traveling from Cuba.

And it’s really interesting that the girl who drowned was from Nicaragua. Turns out, another little boy drowned the week I was there. He was from Uruguay, which is way down in South America – southern hemisphere. So, people — I mean, the word is out that if you want to get into the United States, you go to Mexico and then you swim across and make your way right in.

CLAY: Ivory, do we have any idea what percentage of people that are trying to cross the border we actually apprehend or come in contact with at all? In other words, you’re down at the border. I know it’s difficult, and we have a lot of people working on the border who feel disrespected in the Biden administration in general. But what kind of odds do you have of getting across without any sort of significant interaction with American Border Patrol at all?

HECKER: Well, it — you know, the border is so long that there’s no telling how many people are honestly getting right through without even being detected. So, you know, when you look at CBP data, it shows that more than two million people were encountered attempting to cross the border last year. But in a percentage of those people were sent back, a percentage of them were accepted into the U.S. But how many were not encountered? And that’s what —

CLAY: It’s a monster number, right, that we never interact with at all, Buck, right?

BUCK: Oh, there’s tens of thousands of got-aways when I’ve spoken to Border Patrol that are every month coming into the country, meaning they don’t even — they’re never even apprehended. They just run into the country. The numbers we see about encounters and what Ivory’s talking about, people that are coming across and Border Patrol is apprehending them, that’s one number. But the got-aways is why — it’s 1.6 million apprehensions last year. When you add the got-aways, it’s basically two million people entered the United States illegally.

We’re speaking to Ivory Hecker, who is an independent journalist who was just down at the border last week. IvoryHecker.com is her website. You can check out the video of exactly what’s going on down there. Ivory, I haven’t spoken to Border Patrol about this in person in, you know, well, almost a year now. I was down there last March. The morale at the start of the Biden administration was low. When you spoke to Border Patrol last week, what were they telling you, and do they feel like the federal government is even backing them up when it comes to getting their jobs done?

HECKER: Well, you know, when I talk to them, I talk to a couple of agents who are just there. You know, they’re not allowed to speak to media at all, but they — they were very nonchalant about accepting these guys in. When the Cubans came, swam through the river, border agents walked right up with plastic bags, handing plastic bags. It was a routine. It just seemed very routine to these guys to accept these migrants in, give them plastic bags for their wet clothes —

BUCK: They’re like the welcoming committee now, basically, you cross the Rio Grande illegally and there’s like a federal taxpayer-funded welcoming committee for you now?

HECKER: Exactly. And the militia was joking all the time that these guys are called the Uber for migrants now, because it’s not as if — they’re not really hired to keep people out anymore at this point. I mean, if you — a lot of migrants know that they should run right into the arms of Border Patrol at this point because they will indeed get filed onto a warm van and sent off to a station where they have a good chance of remaining in the U.S. And if they do get sent back across the border, they can just try again.

But nothing bad’s gonna happen to them if they get caught by Border Patrol, a lot of these guys are learning. Nut it was interesting to me in those three days, I never saw Border Patrol agents out there in action, you know, chasing after migrants. I did see the Texas National Guard dispatched by Governor Abbott. Those guys were sprinting at times trying to chase down some of these migrants. Border Patrol was nowhere to be seen in regards to the that. They would mosey up and hand plastic bags to migrants who’d swum across. But I wasn’t — I wasn’t seeing that.

When I was there several months ago, Border Patrol had a lot of buses that they were filing migrants onto, taking to Catholic Charities and I watched Catholic Charities give plane tickets to the migrants to head in — further into the U.S. So, it’s just a very strange scenario, and I think that’s why we see Border Patrol’s morale plummeting. Because they’re sitting there questioning whether — you know, why are we called Border Patrol, and why are we believed to be protecting the border, when the people on the ground are seeing us and calling us Uber? Because that’s what they seem to be doing now.

CLAY: Ivory, what do we know about fentanyl and other drugs crossing the border? Obviously, part of this major issue, huge part of it is people. But, also the drug trade is coming across the border in massive numbers, I believe. What did you hear about that?

HECKER: Yeah, shadowing the border, the militia, they were always on the lookout for drugs. They said that sometimes the little bags, you’d see a lot of bags around the border, and some of them would have migrants’ belongings in them, but some of them would be disguised as migrants’ belongings but they would actually be drugs. Like, at one point the militia was cracking open cans of tuna, there was a bag with food in it, but they said previously they had encountered a bag of food and when they opened the containers of food, it was straight drugs. So, they were – part of the militia’s job was just going through what is left there, making sure none of it is drugs, because that is such an issue.

BUCK: IvoryHecker.com for more of Ivory’s reporting from down on the border. Ivory, thanks for being with us. We appreciate it.

HECKER: Yeah, absolutely. And it’s all on YouTube. I put the coverage of the border on YouTube.

BUCK: Oh, fantastic. Go check it out. What’s your YouTube channel?

HECKER: Just search Ivory Hecker.

BUCK: All righty. There we go. Thank you, Ivory.

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Left-Wing Comics Go After Biden

14 Mar 2022

CLAY: We’ve been talking about how suddenly Saturday Night Live has become willing to make fun of Joe Biden and Kamala Harris. And, to a large extent, that feels like even comedians can no longer fail to acknowledge how unpopular Joe Biden and Kamala Harris actually are. I saw over the weekend, Buck, I was watching Bill Maher, and he had a good point, which we have made for basically a month now, that you have to ask the most central question about the Ukraine conflict, and that central question is:

“If Trump was such in cahoots with Russia,” which obviously he wasn’t, but, “why didn’t Vladimir Putin invade during the four years that Trump was in office? Why did he wait?” And that’s a question that the most anti-Trump people don’t have a good answer for. And building on that, even Trevor Noah — who I’m not sure I’ve ever seen him make fun of a Democratic politician, at least not in recent memory.

Even he was talking about how embarrassing it was for Joe Biden not to be able to get on the phone with the UAE or with Saudi Arabia, as he’s been attempting to negotiate for more oil so the price of oil wouldn’t be skyrocketing as much as it is. When people like Trevor Noah on The Daily Show, who took over for Jon Stewart… By the way, he took over for a legend. Trevor Noah taking over for Jon Stewart, is it fair to say that that’s been an unrequited disaster, Buck? In terms of influence, like, do you hardly even hear The Daily Show matter anymore?

BUCK: I think The Daily Show was probably the single most effective point of Bush criticism in the media during the Iraq war years for the Democrats, and I think that Trevor Noah isn’t able to get anywhere near, not even a fraction of the relevance. Although I do think he’s paid like $15 million.

CLAY: Yeah, of course he is.

BUCK: Corporate media, they can pay people whatever they want to pay him. But, yeah, no. He’s not.

CLAY: I just don’t remember him hardly making news, right, like in any way, negative or positive, since he’s taken over in any way.

BUCK: If he wanted to be relevant maybe he would follow more — and, you know, I’m sure his audience, oh, probably is, I don’t know, close to a million people maybe watch that show a night, something like that. But you see what Bill Maher’s done. Bill Maher is speaking to people on the right. Bill Maher is saying things that at least show a willingness to grapple with reality.

Although, as I said, don’t ask him about climate change ’cause he’s a lunatic on climate change. But on some issues — wokeness and covid stuff — he’s like, “Okay, enough is enough.” You know, there is a window here for people to actually speak to their own side, ’cause libs will never listen to you and me. By the way, centrist Democrats, I hope all of them listen to this show and give us a chance.

CLAY: I think we’ve got a lot of them, Buck.

BUCK: I think we got some.

CLAY: Yeah, yeah, yeah.

BUCK: But I’m talking about the hard-core, Antifa supporting, announce my pronouns when there’s nobody even listening to me.

CLAY: If you’re a pronoun person, you’re probably not listening to our show.

BUCK: The pronoun announcers do not listen to this show. But there are Democrats who I think could speak to them and would be doing the country a service. By the way, we need to play the Trevor Noah.

CLAY: Yeah. That’s what I was gonna say. I want to play the Trevor Noah. This is one of the first times I remember even having a Trevor Noah clip that was circulating at all on social media. I saw he was trending, and I was like, “Oh, I wonder what he said,” and this is what he said.

BUCK: Now, he’s making fun of Trump, but there is some truth to what he’s saying, actually.

CLAY: Yes.

BUCK: This is what it was, ’cause I remember when Trump was president I would always say whenever he was dealing with any of the tyrants on the world stage that you can name — whether it was Iran or North Korea or Putin or whomever — it was always, you don’t know how this guy is gonna react to you. You think about it this way. If you’re picking a fight, if you’re a bad guy, if you’re a bully, and you’re gonna pick a fight with someone in a bar, you don’t pick a fight with the guy that you don’t know what he’s gonna do in response. You pick a fight with the guy who is gonna say, “Oh, I’m sorry. Okay, oh, can I buy you a drink?” Trump wasn’t the “I’m gonna buy you a drink” guy, that’s for sure.

CLAY: No, and I think that’s underlying the essence of why Putin didn’t invade Ukraine. He was afraid of what Trump might do — he didn’t know — and there’s an element of value in having that uncertainty associated with it. Right now, Russia knows what… I guarantee you they can sit down and map out exactly what Joe Biden is going to do because the United States is trying to be very clear in creating expectations for Russia.

Trump would not have played that game, and while Trevor Noah is making a joke at the end there, the premise of his joke is accurate. The UAE and Saudi Arabia would not have refused to speak with Donald Trump on the phone — and, by the way, I think if Donald Trump were president, first of all, Ukraine, I don’t believe, would have been invaded by Vladimir Putin.

But if it had been, I think Trump would have had good enough relationships in the Middle East, Buck, that I believe Saudi Arabia and other Middle Eastern countries that are allied with Saudi Arabia would have produced more oil. I think they would have been willing to help to defray the cost of oil around the world by producing more, in order to curry favor with Trump and have and maintain good relationships with his administration. I really do believe that.

BUCK: Let’s be honest. (laughs) Trump’s advisers didn’t want to upset him.

CLAY: Yeah.

BUCK: You can imagine if you’re one of these dictators that you think you’re gonna outplay chess on the Trump board, he might flip the… Sorry, outplay Trump on the chessboard. The Trump board would also be cool. He might try to flip the table.

CLAY: Surprised that’s not its own business with the Trump family right now.

BUCK: I may have stumbled on something there.

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What’s Now and What’s Next in Ukraine?

14 Mar 2022

BUCK: The Ukraine situation continuing to deteriorate. The war in that country getting worse, more violent, more casualties. We had assumed that that was going to be the case. Unfortunately, it is. There’s been something of a shift, I think, in the last few days. In the early moments of this conflict there was a lot of talk — some would even say a lot of war propaganda — about how the Russians, no way they could continue on.

The Russian war machine was gonna grind to a halt. The sanctions were going to crush them quickly. This would all be over and the glorious Ukrainian resistance would be victorious. That’s not how wars play out, and this is a very real war that has incredibly high stakes, as we know, for the people of Ukraine and also for the whole world when you add into it the thousands of Russian nuclear weapons that loom in the background of all of this.

I think there’s a little bit more realism in the analysis of this now more generally in the media as to the strikes, missile strikes hitting everything from hospitals to the headquarters of some foreign units that have arrived to fight alongside the Ukrainians. People are recognizing more, I think, as they see the images on their screens, how bad this is and how serious this fight is likely to continue to be. Joe Biden actually said to the issue of sending troops to Ukraine… Well, I’ll let him say it.

BUCK: World War III. I would first note that a year ago Biden promised to shut down the virus, to turn on the economy, and to restore normalcy and unity. And now we’re being told, “Go buy a Tesla, peasant! Gas prices are gonna get higher and higher, inflation is gonna get worse, and hopefully we won’t be in the midst of World War III.” So I think you could all consider Biden’s year one to be a massive fail even by Democrat standards.

Beyond that, Clay, this is not over when we think about this discussion about what the U.S. involvement here should be. “Send NATO Troops to Western Ukraine.” This is the Wall Street Journal today. “A show of force inside the country would save lives and deprive Putin of the ability to dictate events.” That was just published — what was it, yesterday — in the Wall Street Journal on their editorial page, just to give you one example of what’s being talked about now.

A “limited” no-fly zone — which I think I said they would call for — in the West where we’re now seeing in real time this country be cleaved in two, and, “Oh, we don’t want a full-scale no-fly zone! We wanted a limited no-fly zone,” again creeping toward a reality with Russia that we need to be very cautious against.

CLAY: We were talking about this off the air the latest in Ukraine. And I wondered how long it would take, Buck, for the American public, as much as there might be an interest in Ukraine, for that interest to begin to wane. And over the weekend I believe it was Axios published a study on online traffic to Ukraine-related articles, and it basically has fallen off a cliff.

First eight, nine days, first week of the Ukraine story people couldn’t get enough of it. The drama of following this war in Europe was unbelievably compelling to your average American. But guess what happened, Buck? The stories, even as they are becoming worse, are easier to understand. That first imagery of Russian invading Ukraine and Zelensky coming out and saying, “We’re fighting for Kiev tonight,” you thought that there would be some sort of massive story change.

What’s happened is what you predicted, Buck. We basically entered the long slog of war here where you’re making progress — if you’re Russia — a couple of miles a day. The overall rate of casualty is increasing fairly rapidly, but the day-to-day swings are not as substantial. And so the American public, everybody put up their Ukraine flag on social media, all the politicians walked out with their Ukraine flag lapels.

And now as this battle is ongoing, there’s a dial-back, right, in the overall interest, it feels like, in America in general. And I don’t know where we go from here. But how long do you think this process plays out, right? ‘Cause I think there’s a lot of people out there say, “Okay, we’re mid-March. We’re two weeks into what feels like a very long process. When is there a resolution, and what do you think that resolution might look like?”

BUCK: I think this goes on for a couple more weeks before Kiev essentially becomes so destroyed that it is almost indefensible militarily, and then I believe there will be negotiations that will stretch on with intermittent ceasefires. This is all prediction, folks. I could be wrong. That will eventually create a Russian protectorate in much of eastern Ukraine and a full Russian Federation absorption of the so-called independent region of Donbas or the separatist region of Donbas and a corridor that connects the Donbas to Crimea.

Which would essentially block the rest of Ukraine from access to the Sea of Azov and the Black Sea. So cut the country in half in a matter of months is, I think, is what is going to happen here. And at that point the Russians will be willing to say, “Well, we’ll back off now,” and whatever.

CLAY: You think Zelensky survives and remains in power for the remainder of Ukraine, or how do you see it? ‘Cause many people are following him as the heroic protagonist of Ukraine-Russia struggle. What seems likely to you to occur?

BUCK: I think that he will… I hope and think that he will be okay and be a part of the eventual negotiations here because I think militarily, he’s not a significant target to the Russians insofar — or I should say, he’s not an obvious target for the Russians insofar — as the martyrdom of Zelensky may create an even emboldened resistance among the Ukrainians.

Because Russia, at the end of this, wants to go back to being a member of the international community and there are some things that I believe are gonna guide Putin here as much as he can be guided, because look. Obviously, he could level any of these cities if he wanted to. So he’s using escalating force to try to punish the Ukrainians enough that they will give him what he wants at the negotiating table.

If he wanted to completely level one of these cities, there’s very little that could be done to stop him. But he’s coming pretty close to it, I know, in some places. You’re seeing a lot of the wreckage, and we’re trying to get into the mind of a very immoral and vicious fellow with Vladimir Putin. I think he ends up cutting the country in half.

I think Zelensky probably makes it to the end of the conflict. And what I mentioned before on the changing perception, by the way, Clay, I had been surprised. In the first week or so of this conflict we were told that 75% of the American people — according to, I think it was, a Reuters-Ipsos poll if I remember correctly —

CLAY: Yes.

BUCK: — 75% of them supported a no-fly zone over Ukraine. The most recent polling on this one — and this is a CBS News/YouGov poll — 59% support a no-fly zone over Ukraine. However, “Would you support a no-fly zone over Ukraine if it is viewed as an act of war?” and 62% oppose it then, which is another way of saying:

“Yeah, people realize we don’t want a war with Russia because a no-fly zone over Ukraine would absolutely be viewed as an act of war by Russia.” How would they respond to that? We don’t know, because to do a no-fly zone you have to shoot down Russian planes and destroy Russian surface-to-air missiles on Russian territory. There’s no other no-fly zone.

CLAY: It also shows, Buck, how the wording of poll questions really dictates many times what the response you’re going to get from the people that you poll is. So relying on poll question answers that-to-help dictate American policy, certainly American foreign policy, can be freighted with danger just based on that difference that you’re explicating there in essentially word choice. Nobody wants World War III.

Everybody, in theory, likes the idea of supporting Ukraine as much as Ukraine can possibly be supported. So if you’re right and we’re talking about eventually an agreement where part of Ukraine is given back to Russia, I think most people out there wonder several things. One, would Russia stay happy with that result, and two — what I haven’t heard a lot of people talk about, Buck, is — how does Russia get re-integrated into the global marketplace when there’s some sort of resolution here?

BUCK: Everyone is so mobilized right now with this moment of —

CLAY: Unity to —

BUCK: Exactly, unity against Russia, and they even stopped some… I think it’s like a 20-year-old piano prodigy from playing at some concert hall in Canada. He’s Russian, he’s 20, he’s outspoken against Putin and the war. He’s basically a Russian dissident at this point, and they won’t let him perform because he’s Russian.

They’ve stopped teaching some of the greats of Russian literature in major universities in the Western world because they’re doing this anti-Russian thing. It’s the freedom fries moment. Remember we’re supposed to rename french fries “freedom fries”? Not because we’re invading France but because Jacques Chirac wasn’t on board for the Iraq war of 2003. So we were supposed to turn on the French.

The whole thing was idiotic. But there was a moment of public fervor, and I think we, because of what we’ve seen as a country over the last 20 years, are a little bit more, “Prove to me,” a little bit more, “Show me,” a little bit more cynical, which we should be, about government claims when it comes to things like war.

But, Clay, Russia is going to be integrated into the international community again. There is no in the future in which one of the largest producers of hydrocarbon in the world with 130-million person population and thousands of nuclear weapons is ignored by everybody. That doesn’t happen.

CLAY: Yes.

BUCK: So this is what I mean by is Zelensky a target? Maybe he was, maybe he’s not now. It’s very tough to read these things. Here is a prediction I feel very confident in, in a year, most of the world is doing business with Russia, most of the world is buying Russian energy without a second thought, Russia is back on United Nations.

I know right now nobody wants to hear that, but you think about this, really? Do we think that we’re treat Russia like North Korea for the foreseeable future? Putin knows that that’s just not possible. He knows that countries won’t care enough about what’s happened in Ukraine to do that. So this all goes into his very Machiavellian calculation.

CLAY: Well, his idea is essentially, I think, correct. But can you imagine how awkward the re-integration of Russia and their economy is going to be after so much of a statement being made about how you’re gonna shut down Russia, and then suddenly — just think about it — McDonald’s gonna open back up? Dr Pepper and Pepsi and Coke are suddenly gonna start flowing again? I’m just talking about low-level economic input in terms of Russia. The oligarchs get back their yachts? There’s so much to unravel here as eventually Russia gets brought back into the global marketplace.

BUCK: It’s not even clear — I always wonder about this — what the legality is of punishing people and taking their assets in the West who are Russian without… Have they proved? There haven’t been… First of all, these oligarchs can afford very good legal teams, I can assure you. Have they proven that these assets are illicit? A lot of what’s going on here is driven by this mass mobilization mentality.

Look, I feel like people — everyone — needs to take a step back and be very cautious about this. Joe Biden is actually discussing the possibility of World War III erupting if we get this wrong, and there are people who are saying, “Yeah, but blow Russian planes out of the sky. What are they gonna do about it?” and they have platforms.

CLAY: They took, in London — obviously, which has got massive amounts of Russian oligarch money, they took — away Abramovich’s team. Maybe I’m mispronouncing his name but I don’t think I am. He owns Chelsea, which is one of the biggest English Premier League teams out there, and they seized his soccer team. It’s crazy what they’re doing in England right now in terms of taking property that the guys have owned for a generation.

BUCK: Let’s say that I’m right — and I know we gotta take a pause here. We’ll come back to this. But let’s say I’m right, Clay, and they do cleave the country in half and there’s some kind of negotiations. You know what everyone who wants to do business with Russia is gonna say? “Okay, guys. This is now peace. It means putting things behind us and Putin is the…”

And you’re gonna see here so much justification for why we need to forget all about these sanctions and these things, just because of the money. Because there are so many people that are going to want access to Russian energy. If Russia didn’t have oil and natural gas, Clay, it wouldn’t be a different conversation.

CLAY: Yes.

BUCK: But there’s no way. There’s no way this is longtime. That’s how I see it.

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Psaki Lies, Tells TikTok Russia “Hacked” 2016

14 Mar 2022

CLAY: The Biden White House has realized that one way to mobilize young people is by trying to reach them through TikTok where, frankly, let’s be honest, Buck, they’re not as likely to experience conflicting ideas because they get in the algorithm. They trust some of these TikTok influencers who can have millions of followers. So the Biden White House has been briefing…

This was initially a Washington Post story. Last week, they were briefing TikTokers about what was going on in Ukraine. And as part of that briefing, I believe we have audio of White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki telling them, “Oh, of course Russia hacked into our election in 2014 and in 2016.” Listen to this.

PSAKI: The best antidote to disinformation is the truth, right? And one of the big steps taken and made a decision to take is to declassify information over the course of the last several months. If you look back at 2014 — and, frankly, even 2016 — when Russia invaded Ukraine and then in 2016 when they, you know, hacked our election here, we did not do that, right? We did not declassify information.

BUCK: Yeah. That’s a lie. But, anyway, I guess no one cares.

CLAY: And what’s amazing too is almost no one talks about it, Buck, is she lied about the Hunter Biden stuff like crazy!

BUCK: Like crazy. All the time. Amazing.

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It Ain’t Sexist or Racist to Say Kamala Is a Disaster

14 Mar 2022

CLAY: Kamala Harris is an unmitigated disaster. The only good thing that Joe Biden has done is pick someone more incompetent than him as his vice-presidential running mate because almost any other vice president people would be aggressively arguing, “Hey, let’s put this vice president in instead of Biden,” certainly after the midterms when the Democrats are gonna get shellacked.

But Kamala Harris has been so uncomfortably awkward that she is single-handedly managing to, at some level, make Biden seem not as bad. That’s particularly the case, ’cause you could at least say with Biden, he’s 78 years old, maybe 79 now. Whatever the heck he is, he’s rapidly deteriorating mentally, and yet he’s still not as awkward as Kamala Harris is in her public events. We didn’t play this. I think this went viral on Friday, if I’m not mistaken. Kamala Harris. Here she is laughing during a press conference in Poland as they talk about the situation in Ukraine.

BUCK: Weird.

CLAY: What’s going on there is they asked two people, and then there’s a couple of other clips where she’s also super awkward. They didn’t know who was gonna talk first, which can be an issue if you’re doing a press conference. And I don’t know that that’s the reaction that you would expect to see in a situation like that, and so she’s been criticized for this, Buck. The View — which is the dumbest show on television — defending potentially the dumbest politician in America feels like a perfect fit.

Here’s The View saying, “Hey, everybody who is criticizing Kamala Harris is doing it based on racism and misogyny.”

BUCK: No, it’s actually based in Kamala Harris didn’t even get, what, 1% of the Democrat primary vote?

CLAY: She dropped out before they voted.

BUCK: Kamala Harris was not someone that Democrats wanted, so I guess the Democrats must all be so racist and sexist because they were not supporting her at the national level for a job like this, who was picked by Joe Biden ’cause Joe Biden is a very old white guy, and they were trying to make sure there was some identity politics component of the Biden regime.

Joe Biden is somebody who comes out and actually says, “I will only pick somebody with the following gender, skin color,” et cetera. He makes this stuff explicit. So we can speak about it as though he has made it explicit ’cause he does say this stuff out loud. And Kamala Harris has done a bad job in every instance when she is on the really global stage, but you could say the national stage even more so.

She comes out looking like she is unprepared. It is in fact possible that we’re just analyzing what Kamala Harris is doing in the job, and that just crying sexism and racism is not an effective tactic for the Democrats here. Clay, look at what we say about Joe Biden. We make fun of Joe Biden all the time. These are politicians. And it just seems pathetic and whiny to fall back on the, “It’s ’cause she’s a woman, it’s because she’s a minority.” Give it a rest. We make fun of Biden 10 times as much as we do Kamala.

CLAY: No doubt, and also, it’s the height of hypocrisy to blame racism and sexism for the way that Kamala is treated when to a large extent she got the job of vice president based on her race and her sex, right? I mean, you got the job based on your race and sex, so it’s certainly sex at minimum because Kamala was selected when Joe Biden said he’s gonna pick a woman for his vice president.

And the fact that he also picked a minority woman is arguably necessary, given — like you said, Buck — his old whiteness and the fact that he’s trying to be the diversity and inclusion candidate. And let me say this too, Buck. You talk about making fun of Joe Biden. Does no one remember how much Dan Quayle got made fun of? Dan Quayle is the whitest dude vice president imaginable.

He got destroyed for four years from 1988 to 1992. No vice president has ever gotten ridiculed as much as Dan Quayle did, and it was for many of the same reasons. Fair or foul, there was the idea that he was callow, not particularly prepared, didn’t deserve that job. And again, I’m not saying this is an accurate criticism of Dan Quayle. I don’t know him personally. But I am saying that was the perception for Dan Quayle, which is almost identical to the perception that exists for Kamala.

BUCK: People also get tired, I think, of being told, for example, “Well, Kamala is a better pick for this role than other people because of her gender and because of her race. So these are assets,” and then a lot of people go, “Okay,” and so the Democrats, et cetera, will vote this person to office. And then it’s, “Well, if you criticize this person, it’s because you disapproval of those things.”

What is this? The American people — or in this case, the Democrats — vote for somebody and we’re supposed to believe that it’s an asset for them to, in the diversity and including sense, have these attributes, and then also immediately fall back on — the moment there’s criticism — oh, that’s sexist or that’s racist?

Everybody thinks Kamala hasn’t been doing a good job. Give me a break! But it’s The View. It is the dumbest political show — influential, though, Clay. If you are a semiliterate person staying at home who doesn’t actually understand anything about politics, you may watch The View and think, “This is what you’re supposed to believe is the reality of America and the world around you.”

CLAY: I think that’s unfortunately true for a large number of especially women. Obviously, this is being programmed towards women who are staying at home during the day. I’ll also point this out, Buck. This is why if Biden doesn’t run, it’s going to be racist and sexist of the Democrat Party if they don’t pick Kamala Harris as their nominee.

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Pelosi, Yellen: Inflation Is Here to Stay

14 Mar 2022

BUCK: Welcome back to Clay and Buck show. I’m Buck. He’s Clay.

BUCK: That was Janet Yellen, Treasury secretary, telling everybody inflation is gonna be bad for the rest of the year. That’s rough for all of us, for everyone, because it just means, by the math, you will have lost a month of wages to inflation, give or take — and remember, you also pay taxes on the wages you make. So it’s gonna be rough. It’s gonna be a rough year economically, financially for a lot of people.

And it’s certainly not looking good for Democrats from an electoral perspective because a lot of things they can spin, a lot of things they can hide. The price of your groceries, the rent going up, and your gas prices skyrocketing, they can’t hide that. They can tell you, “No big deal,” or they could even pull a Pelosi here and tell you that government spending actually makes all of it better, it reduces debt.

BUCK: Government spending reduces the national debt. It is not inflationary, says the third in line for the presidency, the speaker of the House. Clay Travis, we have crossed the streams, man. Gozer is about to appear.

CLAY: These are such ridiculous arguments at this point that even the most die-hard Democrat ally, I don’t think, buys into these arguments anymore. And, by the way, on inflation, remember. We were told for months, the Biden administration’s argument was, “This is all transitory,” and now Janet Yellen is telling us: Oh, no. Actually, inflation is going to exist at an incredibly high level for a year or more — and they’re running scared. I don’t know what arguments they’re going to be putting forward

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Pfizer CEO: Vax “Not That Good,” Get 4th Booster

14 Mar 2022

BUCK: The CEO of Pfizer, Bourla, has come out and said we need the fourth shot.

CLAY: We need to listen to this.

BUCK: Here you go.

BUCK: “It’s not that good against stopping infections,” which was the whole purpose of the vaccine.

CLAY: (laughing) Which is what a vaccine typically does. Let’s be honest, right now?

BUCK: Yeah. That was also how they justified all the mandates. That was why they made me get — they made me get so I could go buy a cup of coffee in my home city — a shot that four months later they’re like, “Well, that shot doesn’t do a damn thing.”

CLAY: Completely worthless.

BUCK: Completely worthless.

CLAY: The shot you got was completely worthless.

BUCK: But it wasn’t mRNA technology, so I got that going for me which was nice, I got the old school one. Which was worthless, though. But even the CEO says it. I’m just wondering now, if you say on social media — and, remember, sometimes they are following you and you’re already on the radar or the algorithm grabs you, sometimes it doesn’t, depends. But if someone says on social media that the Pfizer vaccine doesn’t work very well and doesn’t work for very long — which is what the CEO of Pfizer is now saying, he said get a fourth shot — are you still slapped down?

CLAY: Yeah.

BUCK: Are you still chastened? Do you get a wrong information warning? Do you get slapped as we have been on Spotify with “go get more information on covid”? Yeah, go get truthful information about covid from the Clay and Buck show, you idiots at all these platforms that are doing this stuff! It’s outrageous.

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